Graphs of the Components of the Economy Scores for Presidential Administrations

L. David Roper (roperld@vt.edu)

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The scores and its components of the scores for presidential administrations since 1929 are shown in the graphs below and in the data table below the graph.

Presidents' Economy Scores. Note the unfortunate situation of Democratic President Carter's 4-year term being after an 8-year-term Republican administration and the fortunate situation of Republican Eisenhower being after a 20-year-term Democratic administration. Note that the Reagan/Bush administrations are worse than the Franklin Roosevelt administration during World War II. Of course, the Roosevelt administration not only had to overcome the bad economy of the Hoover administration but, also, had to fight a major war. The Nixon administration started a major slide that the Carter administration could not overcome and the Reagan/Bush administrations continued the bad situation, with Bush slightly improving over Reagan. The Clinton administration began the rise back to good economic times.
GDP Averages used to calculate Presidents' Economy Scores.
Federal Debt Averages used to calculate Presidents' Economy Scores. They are plotted with a negative sign to indicate that they contribute negatively to the economy score.
|CPI| Averages used to calculate Presidents' Economy Scores. They are plotted with a negative sign to indicate that they contribute negatively to the economy score.
Unemployment Averages used to calculate Presidents' Economy Scores. They are plotted with a negative sign to indicate that they contribute negatively to the economy score.

The table below gives the values used to calculate the economy scores for presidential administrations since 1929.

President Average % GDP Change Average % Debt Increase Average ABS(% CPI change) Average Change % Unemployed Combined Averages (G-D-|C|-U) Years
Hoover -17.10 5.13 7.07 6.80 -36.09 4*
RooseveltF 11.25 23.91 3.52 -1.67 -14.51 13
Truman 7.16 0.06 6.16 0.16 0.79 7
Eisenhower 4.98 1.45 1.49 0.31 1.73 8
Kennedy/Johnson 7.10 2.67 2.05 -0.25 2.63 8
Nixon 9.07 7.91 6.36 5.84 -11.03 8
Carter 11.28 9.23 9.73 6.54 -14.22 4
Reagan 7.86 13.78 4.65 7.54 -18.11 12
Bush 5.47 11.80 4.35 6.30 -16.99 4
Clinton 5.68 4.86 2.36 5.21 -6.75 8
Total Total Total Total Total
Democrat 42.47 40.72 23.80 9.99 -32.05
Republican 10.28 40.07 9.78 26.79 -66.36
* Data available only for the last 3 years.
For the CPI average the absolute value is used; that is, inflation and deflation are considered equally bad.
For the combined averages CPI is taken as the absolute value for the same reason.
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