World Tidal Energy
L. David Roper
6 April, 2016
Tidal-energy installations are starting to increase at a rapid rate. This is an attempt to project world tidal-energy installations into the future.
Two good sources of information about world tidal energy are:
- Tidal Energy Use (450 GW @ 27% load factor = 1065 TWh/year asymptote)
I use the data from those sources in this calculation.
Fit to the Data
For the next decade world tidal-energy growth will grow approximately exponentially. Of course, at some future time it has to level off. The hyperbolic-tangent function is a good function for fitting physical data that start off exponentially and approach an asymptote exponentially, such as is expected for renewable energy.
The fits given here involve fitting the hyperbolic-tangent function,
by varying its three parameters to the estimated solar-photovoltaic-energy consumed in Terrawatt-hours each year.
Tidal-energy is in such an early stage of exponential growth that fitting the yearly data does not determined the eventual amount to be produced.
This shows the fit to the world tidal-energy data for an asymptotic value of 1065 Terrawatt-hours per year.
This shows the projection of the fit into the future.
Related Water-Flow Energy System
The future availability of tidal energy is roughly estimated.
World Renewable Energy
L. David Roper Interdisplinary Studies